米連邦準備制度は1月に金利を維持する確率が95%、利下げの確率はわずか5%です。
2026-01-22 22:55:57
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据金十报道，美国 11 月 PCE 数据公布前，根据 CME "美联储观察"，美联储 1 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 5%，维持利率不变的概率为 95%。到 3 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 15.4%，维持利率不变的概率为 84.1%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.6%。
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