Garrett Jin:BTC、ETH 跑输其他风险资产,源于去杠杆与市场结构问题
2026-01-29 20:54:07
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ChainCatcher 消息,Garrett Jin 于社交平台发布文章称,比特币和以太坊近期明显跑输其他风险资产,主要原因在于市场仍处于去杠杆周期尾声,以及加密市场的微观结构问题,而非基本面恶化。
他指出,自去年 10 月以来的大规模去杠杆清洗了高杠杆散户资金,同时 AI 概念股与贵金属吸走了大量投机资本;加密市场专业机构参与度仍低,易被短期叙事及部分交易所、做市商和投机资金主导。
Garrett 强调,拉长至 6 年周期,BTC 和 ETH 仍跑赢大多数资产,当前表现更像长期趋势中的均值回归。随着监管环境改善、流动性边际宽松、期货成交量接近历史低位,BTC 与 ETH 的去杠杆过程或已接近尾声。
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