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Arthur Hayes: If the U.S. is involved in the Iran conflict for a long time, it will force the Federal Reserve to print money and drive up the price of Bitcoin

Mar 2, 2026 08:43:46

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BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published an analysis stating that since 1985, every U.S. president has initiated military actions against Middle Eastern countries, and Trump has continued this tradition. He uses simple logic to judge Bitcoin's trend: the longer the U.S. is involved in the Iran situation, the more likely the Federal Reserve is to cut interest rates or print money to support war expenditures, which will drive up Bitcoin prices.

Regarding trading strategies, Hayes stated: "Currently, we are unclear how long Trump can maintain his involvement, spending billions or even trillions of dollars to reshape Iranian politics according to his wishes, nor do we know how much geopolitical and financial market shock he can withstand before retreating. The wise approach is to wait and see. The real opportunity to buy Bitcoin and quality altcoins like HYPE is after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates or increases money supply to support the Iranian government’s objectives."

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