米連邦準備制度は3月に金利を維持する確率が95.3%、利下げの確率はわずか4.7%です。
Mar 6, 2026 21:10:46
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据金十报道，非农数据公布前，根据 CME "美联储观察"，美联储到 3 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 4.7%，维持利率不变的概率为 95.3%。到 4 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 14%，维持利率不变的概率为 85.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.5%。到 6 月，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 31.5%。
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