미국 연방준비제도(Fed)가 3월에 금리를 동결할 확률은 95.3%이며, 금리 인하 확률은 4.7%에 불과하다
Mar 6, 2026 21:10:46
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据金十报道,非农数据公布前,根据 CME "美联储观察",美联储到 3 月降息 25 个基点的概率为 4.7%,维持利率不变的概率为 95.3%。到 4 月,累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 14%,维持利率不变的概率为 85.5%,累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.5%。到 6 月,累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 31.5%。
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